Track 2 Session 12

1:00 to 2:00 p.m. Thursday, June 17, 2010

Extended Life Cycle Management of an Aging Platform Through Simulation and Predictive Analysis

The Marine Corps Light Armored Vehicle (LAV) family of vehicles is essential in combat and support operations. The LAV end-of-service is in 2025. The LAV service life extension program (SLEP) extended the program service life by ten years. LAVs will be 42 years old in 2025. The LAV Program Manager requires a decision tool to assist in analyzing technology and processes for platform total life cycle management (TLCM). Clockwork Solutions, Inc. (CSI) supports this predictive modeling effort by developing and maintaining TLCM-AT™ simulation models. CSI data preparation, mining utilities and analysis provide the LAV Program Manager with the capability to quickly and accurately: 1) Predict future reliability, availability, maintainability and sustainability impacts due to changes throughout field operations, depot overhaul, repair programs, supply, support operations and system configuration updates. 2) Predict life cycle supportability metrics when considering dynamic factors including equipment aging, diverse operational usage and environments and proposed modernization initiatives.

Key Words: Autonomic Logistics, Cost Analysis, Discrete Event Simulation (DES), Embedded Platform Logistics System (EPLS), Light Armored Vehicle (LAV), Logistics Simulation, Maintainability Analysis, Model Validation, Modeling and Simulation (M&S), Operational Availability, Operations and Sustainment, Predictive Analysis, Provisioning, Sparing, Stochastic Simulation, Total Life Cycle Management (TLCM), Total Life Cycle Management-Assessment Tool (TLCM-AT), Verification and Validation (V&V),

Peter Figliozzi

Clockwork Solutions, Inc.

Austin, Texas